The National Hurricane Center is now issuing updates and advisories on Tropical Depression Three (TD 3) which has formed off the coast of Southern FL and the Bahamas and is forecast to affect Eastern NC and Carteret County in the early morning hours on Wednesday, July 24, 2019.
11:00 AM Update: System completed fell apart and the NHC is o longer calling it a depression.
7/23/2019 9:00 am: System is now moving North with winds of 35 mph and the forward speed has increased significantly. The center of this Depression is now projected to pass about 50 miles off the coast decreasing the effects of the system. The height of any effects will be at 2 am on Wednesday and should only last 2 hours. The cool front that Carteret County is now experiencing will absorb this disturbance. While this disturbance is still very disorganized, satellite imagery shows increasing convection to the east of the center indicating that at the 11 am advisory we could see this become Tropical Storm Chantal. Winds are now 35 mph and to become a Tropical Storm winds of 39 mph is needed. However, it is important to note that the east side convection seen on this storm would mean that as it passes Eastern NC, the major components of this disturbance will stay out to sea.
7/22/2019 8:30 PM Update: Latest satellite imagery and radar shows this newly formed storm having difficulties maintaining convection around a center late this evening potentially signaling the imminent core of this storm being blown apart by shear. We will have to see if it regains convection in the morning hours.
As of 7 pm on July 22, 2019, Tropical Depression Three has maximum sustained winds of 30 mph and is moving to the Northwest at 13 mph but is projected to skirt the Eastern FL coast and curve to a more Northeast path tonight. The current projection notes that this tropical system will be over Eastern NC sometime Wednesday while still having tropical characteristics.
As of this immediate advisory, the NHC is not expecting rapid development reaching Tropical Storm conditions, thus if the current projections hold true, would mean winds of potentially 25-30 mph with higher gusts along the immediate coast, very minor coastal flooding, and rain.
It is noted that this storm is being inhibited from growing stronger by a cool front over Eastern NC when the system arrives and the cool front will have this system moving at a very fast pace which should only bring Carteret County NC under tropical conditions for the evenings hours.
This article will be updated as the National Hurricane Center issues new updates on the strength and projected path, along with any new worsening or lessening changes expected for Eastern NC and the Carteret County communities of Emerald Isle, Salter Path, Atlantic Beach, Morehead City, Beaufort and areas down east near Harkers Island.
The only preparations that we advise at this point is for boat owners who have their vessels in waterways to secure their ropes and allow for a higher than normal high tide. For smaller boats, we would encourage you to dry storage your boats or move them to inland waterways.
Additionally, for homes that still have tarps on the roofs and roofs in disrepair from Hurricane Florence, we advise you to take precautions to prevent further water damage inside and outside of your home.
Again, this system is NOT projected to reach Tropical Storm (TS) force designation, but there could be isolated gusts reaching TS wind speeds and flooding especially in areas down east.
Please consider sharing this article on social media sites so that others can stay updated on TD 3, it’s affects along the coast, any changes to conditions. Furthermore, you are encouraged to use the comment system below to ask question about this impending storm.
Updates tonight, tomorrow, and Wednesday will be applied to the top of this article.